Summer 2005 Box Office Prognostication

The Teacher’s PetStar Wars Episode III: Revenge of the Sith (domestic B.O. prediction: $360 million) – $158 million in four days? You do the math.
The Obvious HitsWar of the Worlds ($212 million) – Minority Report may have been a disappointment, but there’s no weirdo pre-cog gimmick to explain here. Here’s the pitch: Mars attacks, we run, repeat as needed.
Cinderella Man ($115 million) – This season’s Seabiscuit.
The Wedding Crashers ($103 million) – Both men and women love Vince Vaughn/Owen Wilson and this looks particularly funny.

The Disappointments
Batman Begins ($73 million) – A hunch that people (comic book geeks don't count) are getting sick of Batman, that's all.
Dark Water ($28 million) – The Japanese horror remake cycle is fading fast.
Stealth ($32 million) – Jamie Foxx is due for a flop and this one's not an easy sell.

The Unexpected Flops
Mr. and Mrs. Smith ($59 million) – Have you seen these noisy, tedious trailers? Historical note: tabloid intrigue didn’t do anything to help the Meg Ryan-Russell Crowe thriller Proof of Life.
Fantastic Four ($32 million) – It could be another X-Men... but it probably isn’t. It just looks cheesy.
The Pink Panther ($29 million) – Buzz says they’re trying to re-package the marketing in the 11th hour, which isn’t a good sign.

The Surprise Sleepers
The Sisterhood of the Traveling Pants ($88 million) – It has the look of one of those fizzy chick-flicks that hits big.
Herbie Fully Loaded ($75 million) – The trailers make it look way more interesting than it has any right to be.
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory ($52 million) – Discerning viewers know that Tim Burton and Johnny Depp doing Roald Dahl cannot be missed.
Domino ($60 million) – This bounty hunter thriller starring Kiera Knightley and directed by Tony Scott just looks really, really cool.
The Dukes of Hazzard ($63 million) – Everyone and anyone born between 1970 and 1975 will go.

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